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February 2016 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes March 8th

Welfare

Welfare

Member
slavesnyder said:
This is snobby.
It's like saying the smaller teams at the bottom of a league are irrelevant. We need them like three-cent stamps.
Click to expand...

Snobby? Maybe. Wrong? Not entirely.

I'm not suggesting we stop guessing Wii U and 3DS, but 3DS is already a chore to get numbers for, and we only get Wii U because it's classified as 8th gen with PS4/XB1.

Console gaming is dead®
 
R

Ryng_tolu

Banned
3DS - 176K
Vita - 19.5k

... And i thought some 150K/160K predictions were optimist for 3DS. :p

Fire Emblem and Pokémon were truly sistem Seller all considering.
 
D

donny2112

Member
Ryng_tolu said:
So, we should use for The predictions result:

[PS4] 406,000
[XB1] 248,000
[3DS] 176,000
[WIU] 69,000
[PSV] 20,000
Click to expand...

Almost. Since we're basing this off of the 157K monthly gap between PS4/XB1, the Wii U has a 69.56K in the console-only graph and 69.49K in the full graph. Since the console-only graph should provide a clearer picture with less constituents, going with that one's 70K for the predictions, then. Also, XB1 is 249K in both, so the results used for predictions are below.

1. PS4 - 406K
2. XB1 - 249K
3. 3DS - 176K
4. WIU - 70K

NeoGAF Prediction Results - February 2016

Units

1. ethomaz - 47,000
2. donny2112 - 63,000
3. jayu26 - 67,000
4. EventHorizon - 68,000
5. Fat4all - 69,000
6. KillerMan91 - 73,000
7. jjonez18 - 78,000
8. archnemesis - 85,000
9. Ryng_tolu - 86,000
10. ConfusedGamer - 90,000
11. viHuGi - 91,000
12. RexNovis - 94,000
13. Javin98 - 96,000
14. Welfare - 99,000
15. allan-bh - 101,000
16. CorporateClown - 102,000
17. Opt1kon_ - 103,000
18. RopeSnake - 104,000
19. Loris146 - 106,000
20. Shizza - 107,000
21. noobie - 108,000
22. TheCarrotKiller - 112,000
23. Xumbrega - 113,000
23. wachie - 113,000
25. Nouzka - 116,000
26. Bruno MB - 118,000
26. ferrasvansen - 118,000
28. GifGafIsTheBestGaf - 119,000
29. DriftingSpirit - 121,000
30. AmaterasuOni - 122,000
30. Tratorn - 122,000
32. Chobel - 123,000
32. jroc74 - 123,000
34. Trust me, I'm a PhD - 124,000
35. robo - 125,000
36. jbluzb - 128,800
37. Maniel - 131,000
37. ascii42 - 131,000
39. 1st Course - 136,000
39. OleGunner - 136,000
39. mejin - 136,000
42. The Last One - 138,000
42. pitseleh - 138,000
44. Fdkn - 140,000
45. Megadragon15 - 144,000
46. gtj1092 - 145,000
47. Darth Smurf X - 146,000
47. Elandyll - 146,000
49. GAF_Agg - 146,600
50. orfax - 148,000
51. Asd202 - 151,000
51. Jigorath - 151,000
51. Stilton Disco - 151,000
51. andy_lhc - 151,000
51. slavesnyder - 151,000
51. travisbickle - 151,000
57. Bitch Pudding - 156,000
57. madstarr12 - 156,000
59. Pillville - 158,000
59. Twinsanity - 158,000
61. AncientDiety - 159,000
62. 5Twist - 161,000
62. Tubie - 161,000
64. Cow Goes Moo - 163,000
65. Ombala - 164,000
66. ghost4soul - 166,000
67. Crimson_Gold - 169,000
68. astrogamer - 171,000
68. skedar897 - 171,000
70. Primethius - 176,000
71. madp0k - 178,000
72. Sterok - 186,000
73. foxbeldin - 187,000
73. freefornow - 187,000
75. Raist - 188,000
76. DieH@rd - 190,000
77. ironcreed - 192,000
78. Wildarmsjecht - 196,000
79. Toli08 - 198,000
80. Raylan - 199,000
81. BlackBuzzard - 201,000
81. LifEndz - 201,000
81. Rand6 - 201,000
84. maquiladora - 208,000
85. Stanng243 - 209,000
86. ZachzOOming - 211,000
87. Kayant - 212,000
88. harrisk954 - 214,000
89. Prototype Viktor - 217,000
90. Elios83 - 221,000
91. anexanhume - 226,000
92. Introvese - 234,000
93. Papagaio - 239,000
94. GribbleGrunger - 246,000
95. Pachter - 258,500
96. Kill3r7 - 261,000
96. Rymuth - 261,000
98. Hydrargyrus - 263,000
99. biglittleps - 286,000
100. FullMetaltech - 311,000
101. Las7 - 365,000


Points
Code: 
     February 2016                   Overall 2016 Top (2/2)
01.  ethomaz                123.00   EventHorizon             219.49
02.  donny2112              112.71   Fat4all                  209.95
03.  jayu26                 110.51   jayu26                   205.33
04.  Fat4all                109.47   Tubie                    203.78
05.  EventHorizon           108.67   donny2112                202.88
06.  jjonez18               104.65   KillerMan91              199.61
07.  KillerMan91            103.36   Twinsanity               199.11
08.  archnemesis             99.74   ConfusedGamer            197.93
09.  Ryng_tolu               99.69   jjonez18                 196.21
10.  RopeSnake               98.72   pitseleh                 196.18
11.  viHuGi                  98.25   Elandyll                 195.40
12.  Xumbrega                98.09   archnemesis              195.36
13.  ConfusedGamer           98.01   Javin98                  193.67
14.  Chobel                  97.06   Ryng_tolu                193.59
15.  noobie                  96.05   biglittleps              193.43
16.  RexNovis                95.87   Maniel                   192.70
17.  Javin98                 95.72   noobie                   192.59
18.  ghost4soul              95.71   allan-bh                 192.06
19.  allan-bh                95.38   Loris146                 191.18
20.  Bruno MB                95.36   slavesnyder              190.76
21.  Opt1kon_                94.74   Raylan                   190.65
22.  Welfare                 94.70   1st Course               190.63
23.  Loris146                94.47   wachie                   190.59
24.  robo                    94.39   Tratorn                  190.08
25.  AmaterasuOni            94.06   Nouzka                   189.68
26.  ferrasvansen            94.04   jbluzb                   188.83
27.  CorporateClown          93.94   RexNovis                 188.82
28.  Maniel                  93.63   Bruno MB                 188.74
29.  Cow Goes Moo            93.56   Chobel                   188.68
30.  pitseleh                93.43   Opt1kon_                 188.53
31.  Nouzka                  93.36   AmaterasuOni             188.08
32.  TheCarrotKiller         93.22   ferrasvansen             187.65
33.  wachie                  93.20   Darth Smurf X            187.11
34.  Shizza                  93.10   ascii42                  186.97
35.  Asd202                  92.64   gtj1092                  186.92
36.  Trust me, I'm a PhD     92.60   travisbickle             186.92
37.  DriftingSpirit          92.55   ZachzOOming              186.84
38.  jroc74                  92.52   robo                     186.78
39.  Tratorn                 92.23   orfax                    186.63
40.  The Last One            91.69   astrogamer               186.62
41.  GifGafIsTheBestGaf      91.39   Megadragon15             186.49
42.  OleGunner               91.08   Fdkn                     186.35
43.  orfax                   90.87   GifGafIsTheBestGaf       186.34
44.  jbluzb                  90.84   andy_lhc                 186.16
45.  Elandyll                90.81   Asd202                   186.10
46.  foxbeldin               90.77   TheCarrotKiller          185.71
47.  ascii42                 90.76   Xumbrega                 185.64
48.  Bitch Pudding           90.57   Stanng243                185.42
49.  mejin                   90.37   The Last One             185.10
50.  madstarr12              90.35   Welfare                  185.06

Congratulations, ethomaz! :D
 
R

Ryng_tolu

Banned
Wow, i did very good this month.

And congrats Etho, that 3DS prediction was really strong.

Also congrats for 2nd place Donny. :)
 
R

Ryng_tolu

Banned
Hey Donny.

Since now we should have PSV sales all months, can we add it in the predictions thread as well?

Maybe like Wii U, it won't be use for the points result, but we can predict it... Just for fun. :D
 
E

Elandyll

Banned
[PS4] 380K
[XB1] 215K
[3DS] 110K
[WIU] 50k

I was too conservative this month across the board, but it's the 3DS that really killed me.

Curse you Nintendo! #shakefist
 
S

Sterok

Member
CosmicQueso said:
Thinking the month's 3DS sales are pretty good shows just how far expectations have been lowered.
Click to expand...

It's alive, and I think that's about as much as Nintendo can ask for. Nintendo can at least sell something this year before November, and that's a better situation than some people think they're in. Not exactly a good situation to be in, but they have to deal with the cards they currently have.
 
Welfare

Welfare

Member
3DS did really well. Damn I did not expect that.

Did well on units besides that, but points. Oh god the points!

Need to do well in March.
 
C

CosmicQueso

Member
Sterok said:
It's alive, and I think that's about as much as Nintendo can ask for. Nintendo can at least sell something this year before November, and that's a better situation than some people think they're in. Not exactly a good situation to be in, but they have to deal with the cards they currently have.
Click to expand...

Guess we have different perspectives on that number meaning "alive".
 
E

Elios83

Member
Argh terrible month for me.
I understimated both PS4 and XB1 (although I pretty much guessed the gap) but the 3DS killed me. Nintendo sales are totally erratic :p
 
S

Sterok

Member
CosmicQueso said:
Guess we have different perspectives on that number meaning "alive".
Click to expand...

How about, PS4 is an Olympic athlete, XB1 is a healthy jogger, 3DS is an old man trying to stay in shape as long as he can, Wii U is in a coma, and I don't want to think about what that would make the Vita.
 
D

donny2112

Member
CosmicQueso said:
Thinking the month's 3DS sales are pretty good shows just how far expectations have been lowered.
Click to expand...

Very much so. Only 3 people predicted close or above the actual sales, so the expectations were a lot lower even with the special edition releases this month than the actual sales. DS heydays are behind us. Well behind us.
 
D

donny2112

Member
Updated Ryng_tolu's username in January's results (used to be RED_RING), so his annual total should be correct now. Note that I only keep track of users by their username, so if you change it, please let me know to update previous results for the year!
 
R

Ryng_tolu

Banned
donny2112 said:
Updated Ryng_tolu's username in January's results (used to be RED_RING), so his annual total should be correct now. Note that I only keep track of users by their username, so if you change it, please let me know to update previous results for the year!
Click to expand...

Thank you. :)
 
ethomaz

ethomaz

Banned
OMG!!! I didn't expect to be so close to the real numbers... my prediction was purely based on January yoy data... crazy.

Thank you guys.

PS. I need to remove the hat :p
 
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