Russia could attack a NATO country within 3 to 5 years, Denmark warns
Danish defence minister is latest Western official to sound the alarm about Moscow’s continued appetite for war
Russia could attack a Nato country in as little as three years, according to Denmark’s defence minister, in the latest and starkest warning from a Western official about Moscow’s appetite for confrontation beyond its war in Ukraine.
Troels Lund Poulsen joined colleagues from Sweden, the UK, Romania, Germany and others in sounding the alarm about Russia’s increased defence spending potential, leading to direct confrontation with NATO, which would test the alliance’s collective defence pledge known as Article 5.
“It cannot be ruled out that Russia will test Article 5 and NATO’s solidarity within three to five years. That was not NATO’s assessment in 2023. This new information is coming to the fore now,” Poulsen told Jyllands-Posten, a Danish newspaper.
European countries have increasingly warned in recent weeks that they believe Russia could try to undermine NATO in the coming decade. In private, many worry that an election victory for Donald Trump in November’s US presidential elections could embolden Russia further.
Sweden’s military chief and prime minister have both this year warned its citizens to prepare mentally for war. Likewise, German and Estonian ministers have said that Russia could be able to attack NATO within five to eight years.
While Kyiv’s Western allies have struggled to agree on further funding and ramp up arms production for Ukraine, Russia has rebooted its military-industrial complex and secured weapons from countries such as Iran and North Korea.
“There is reason to be genuinely concerned,” said Poulsen. “Russia’s capacity to produce military equipment has increased tremendously . . . Russia potentially has the will to [launch attacks]. Now they can also have the ability in terms of military capability earlier than we expected.”