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December 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes January 12th

Culex

Banned
Fun fact: the PS4 + X1 + Wii U for Dec will most likely be less than just the Wii total from Dec 2009 (3.8 million)
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
Am I missing something for WiiU? It did 500K last year, correct? Why the predictions for 50%+ drops?

580k* for be correct.

It sold 580,000 in December 2014, 480,000 in December 2013, and 460,000 in December 2012.

Might as well predict software placement as well.

6) Tom Clancy: Rainbow Six Siege
8) Just Cause 3

Software Top 10

6) Rainbow Six
8) Just Cause

Rainbow over Just Cause? I don't think so honestly, but should be a good battle, probabily close we'll see.
 

donny2112

Member
199 so only 1/3 less.

And $50 GC at Wal-Mart for the whole month making it effectively $150, and it was the first December since launch when it was readily available on store shelves. Iwata made a comment that it sold 3 million in December, everyone predicted ~3m, and then it blew up with 3.8m. What a month. :lol
 

Welfare

Member
Rainbow over Just Cause? I don't think so honestly, but should be a good battle, probabily close we'll see.

I'm expecting both to be close in terms of sales (bottom 5 will be very close to each, I imagine), but Just Cause 3 doing worse because of technical issues.

Also Vegas 2 did well, and granted that was back in 2008, but I think with the long ass break, Siege should do well off of the brand.
 

jbluzb

Member
What did PS4 and X1 do last December? Also, does anyone know what was the total gap X1 made up last November and December? It will be (you already know) to see what soft of total gap the PS4 will have with X1 across this November and December.

Gap is around 1.1 million last november
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
2016 will be an interesting™ year.

...Basically, i only give about NX and how PS4 / XB1 will sell compared to 2015.

Happy new year to all.
 
2016 will be an interesting™ year.

...Basically, i only give about NX and how PS4 / XB1 will sell compared to 2015.
There will be so much to look, predict and discuss for.
NX
Xbox vs PS
VR
MS strategy about Xbox and W10-apps (incl. MAU)
And, not to forget, the year where this gen will finally pump out games en masse.
It will be epic.
 

Opt1kon_

Member
[PS4] 1850k
[XB1] 1365k
[3DS] 660k
[WIIU] 370k

Wait..... Noobie is that you 0_o


[PS4] 1650k
[XB1] 1265k
[3DS] 660k
[WIIU] 395k

EDIT: (Added my observation from Gamestop )From what I've been observing in my store (Gamestop employee) the XB1 has some serious compitition with the PS4, we have a sale that's been going on almost since last week where you can purchase a pre owned Xbox one for $249.99 500GB or 1TB and folks still chose the $381.05 PS4 over the lower priced Xbox one I've even seen customers get the PS4 over the Xbox one when it was priced at $299 also a couple of games that's been selling gangbusters has been R6S, FALLOUT4 (Still), BLACKOPS 3 especially with the ps4 bundle, just cause 3 , & GTA5
 

jjonez18

Member
Rainbow over Just Cause? I don't think so honestly, but should be a good battle, probabily close we'll see.

Figured this is America. First person, guns n stuff. Anyways, it's early. My numbers will look completely different from day to day.

Will probably look at UK charts to see how they did there. That's where most of my software choices come from. x4 is usually a reliable multiplier.
 
Like winning the contest for being the tallest little person.

I dont think so. I think Rainbow is gonna be a rather nice number

Edit - Though Ubi expects 7 million which is a little extreme. So this may end up a TR Reboot situation. Solid sales numbers themselves but dissapointing to the publisher
 

stryke

Member
I dont think so. I think Rainbow is gonna be a rather nice number

Edit - Though Ubi expects 7 million which is a little extreme. So this may end up a TR Reboot situation. Solid sales numbers themselves but dissapointing to the publisher

What the timeframe for that figure? Just this quarter?
 

Trogdor1123

Member
If it's doing so poorly that a price drop is needed to clear inventory then the last thing you'd want to do is buy one as support will start drying up.

You want it to do so well that Microsoft wants to drop the price to encourage even more sales, like Sony did with the PS4 this year.

You want a healthy platform if you're going to invest in it. Not a failing one.

I really only want it for a few games, everything else will come to PS4 (which I already have). Im not really thinking thinking long term as a result.

Also, isnt that the exact opposite of whats happened with the xbox so far?
 

Papacheeks

Banned
Fun fact: the PS4 + X1 + Wii U for Dec will most likely be less than just the Wii total from Dec 2009 (3.8 million)

Hahah really? A console that was $199 versus consoles that are $299+?

What's next? Wii sales 2009 destroys Xbox one & PS4 hardware sales.
 

Conduit

Banned
Wouldn't be surprised that PS4 being back at 350 dollars is a calculated move by Sony and EA to get every last dollar from the Star Wars bundles that people were apparently buying up after they saw the movie. Once that dries up I suspect we'll be back at 299.99.

Well, looks like PS4 is still selling well at 349$. So, i doubt that Sony will cut the price to 299$. Of course that sales will be slow in January for PS4. January are always slow month for sales.
I'm at work so this will be short, but I'm pretty comfortable in my statement that the ps4 won for best buy this month. The extra time with the xb1 at the lower price didn't make much difference, as I said in other threads. Serious difference in momentum and the push behind their respective products. Also, star wars killed it.

Great month. I'm glad it's over. I survived another year. Fuck the holidays man. Haha.

Do you still have Rise Of The Tomb Taider bundles? Did you sold any of them?
 

Death2494

Member
And how many times has it been correct?
What are you talking about? Sorry, it has been wrong once since the start of this generation. Thanks gravity for the correction. I think the other time, people assumed the month was going to be closer than it actually was based off of the monthly chart for amazon. NPD however provided a completely different story. It might have been November 2014.
 

Rymuth

Member
So here are Amazon's Best Sellers for the year of 2015

Games

  1. Fallout 4 (PS4)
  2. Call of Duty: Black Ops 3 (XB1)
  3. Fallout 4 (XB1)
  4. Call of Duty: Black Ops 3 (PS4)
  5. Super Mario Maker (Wii U)
  6. Halo 5: Guardians (XB1)
  7. Minecraft (360)
  8. Just Dance 2016 (Wii)
  9. The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask 3D (3DS)
  10. Bloodborne (PS4)

Consoles
  1. PlayStation 4 500GB Uncharted: The Nathan Drake Collection Bundle
  2. PlayStation 4 500GB Star Wars Battlefront Bundle
  3. Xbox One 500GB Gears of War Ultimate Edition Bundle
  4. PlayStation 4
  5. New Nintendo 3DS XL Black
  6. Xbox One 500GB Assassin’s Creed Bundle

Accessories
  1. $20 PlayStation Store Gift Card
  2. $10 PlayStation Store Gift Card
  3. $50 PlayStation Store Gift Card
  4. Xbox Live 12-Month Gold Membership
  5. DualShock 4
  6. 1-Year PlayStation Plus Membership
  7. Xbox $10 Gift Card
  8. Xbox 360 Wireless Controller
  9. Xbox One Wireless Controller
  10. $100 PlayStation Store Gift Card
 

Chobel

Member
Some nice stat from Zhuge
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And if you feel you're in betting mode, you'll find this useful too :p
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I can bet confidently that PS4 won't beat PS2 :p
 
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