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[AJUMP23]

There are also bare feet in the game. Be careful or your son might just turn out too based.

He hated it when I talked to any character....so maybe we are good.

 

[DeceptiveAlarm]

If you're stuck at his second phase just keep your distance until he does the jumping hammer attack and then roll towards him. He's open for a few hits at that point

I beat him. I just didn't know you could upgrade weapons at the church.

 

[KingGhidorah]

Yes I think we can

Fortunately there's a similar game recently released in the same caliber as Elden Ring in term of market anticipation, Cyberpunk

Cyberpunk was released on December 10, 2020, on PC+PS4+Xbox. Since it's recently released, gamers install base should be relatively the same between Dec-2020 to today.

Cyberpunk Steam peak players right after it's released is 1.054 million. A couple of months after release, CDPR said despite issues, Cyberpunk has sold 13.7 million in 2020 (that's 3 weeks worth of sale) with breakdown of 56% PC, 28% PS4, and 17% Xbox

Cyberpunk 2077 sold 13.7 million copies in 2020, over half on PC

10% of Cyberpunk 2077 PC sales were on GOG

www.pcgamesn.com

Elden Ring Steam peak players is 891K. But we know Soulsborne PC install base is 40% PC and 60% console.

Dark Souls Series Has Sold Over 8 Million Copies, 40% of Which Were on the PC

Dark Souls Series Has Sold Over 8 Million Copies, 40% of Which Were on the PC

wccftech.com

So using those numbers

Cyberpunk PC sales in 3 weeks = 0.56 x 13.7 = 7.672 million
Elden Ring to Cyberpunk PC sale ratio = 0.891/1.054 = 0.8444
In 3 weeks, Elden Ring PC sale should be around = 0.8444 x 7.672 = 6.478 million (Even Steamspy estimates that Elden Ring PC sales already reached, AT LEAST, 5 million)
Soulsborne install base is 40% PC, so total Elden Ring sales in 3 weeks should be around 16.2 million (PC+PS+Xbox)

A year after its release, at the end of 2021, Cyberpunk sales is estimated at 18 million copies, that's 30% of its Dec-2020 sales.

Analysts: All ‘Cyberpunk 2077’ 2021 Sales May Be A Third Of Just December 2020

Polish outlet Banker.pl has been chatting with some analysts about the financial fortunes of Cyberpunk 2077 in 2021, and with CDPR offering limited information, is our best look at the game’s potential performance this year.

www.forbes.com

If we're to use the same ratio, Elden Ring 1-year sale should reach 21.2 million

Can someone better in math verify my numbers?

 

[iHaunter]

I'd rather just wait for the official numbers. Why rack my brain over something that doesn't really matter. Not like I get a % of the sale.

 

[AV]

This is guesswork at absolute best, you can't just compared different games like they're the same thing (most of the time).

Anecdotally I know a LOT of people who have bought Elden Ring that have never touched a From game before. I think it will easily be the best selling one, but by how much, who knows.

 

[yazenov]

PS5 keeping retail afloat

Yes retailers should push the PS5 to potentials consumers who are undecided on which console to get based on physicals sales. It should get most of the shelve space and center display. If only Sony manages to produce more PS5s.

 

[Buggy Loop]

I can safely say that it sold more than 890k copies

 

[winjer]

You can't compare these two games.
CP2077 was decent enough on PC, but a freaking mess on consoles. So there was a bias towards better sales on PC.
Elden Ring is almost he opposite. It runs better on consoles. And besides, From Software games have a bigger following on consoles than on PC.

 

[tmlDan]

so you think its gonna outsell dark souls 3 by double?

I can't take this seriously.

Yes its the best launch for them ever but that's built up hype by current fans not new fans.

The game will sell more than any in the franchise but i don't think it hits 20.

 

[DavidGzz]

Easily the most fun the Uchi has been in one of these games. I love the moveset and the default weapon art is money. Also the bleed is amazing.

 

[rofif]

Wait…. I can’t duplicate any other remembrance? Only one?

 

[KingGhidorah]

so you think its gonna outsell dark souls 3 by double?

I can't take this seriously.

Yes its the best launch for them ever but that's built up hype by current fans not new fans.

The game will sell more than any in the franchise but i don't think it hits 20.

Elden Ring anticipation far exceeds that of Dark Souls 3, so yeah I think it can easily double DS3 sales

 

[Trogdor1123]

We can but we have no idea how accurate it is…

 

[ethomaz]

No.

If we're to use the same ratio, Elden Ring 1-year sale should reach 21.2 million

That is exactly why no.

 

[JackSparr0w]

so you think its gonna outsell dark souls 3 by double?

I can't take this seriously.

Yes its the best launch for them ever but that's built up hype by current fans not new fans.

The game will sell more than any in the franchise but i don't think it hits 20.

Double is not even in question, triple easily or more.

 

[VolticArchangel]

CP 2077 a lot of preorders. You can't say the same for Elden Ring.

 

[saintjules]

For once I'd like to hear data of sales outside the UK. It's always this region that's talked about.

 

[AV]

Double is not even in question, triple easily or more.

It's an outstanding game but this is just silly. It doesn't have COD / Skyrim / Witcher 3 mainstream appeal to shift that many units.

 

[Scotty W]

I love this game so much that instead of playing it I am going to speculate using an arbitrary metric about how popular this game is so that I can know a few days before the official numbers are released.

 

[JackSparr0w]

It's an outstanding game but this is just silly. It doesn't have COD / Skyrim / Witcher 3 mainstream appeal to shift that many units.

It sold on par with Cyberpunk on PC so yes it does at least on PC. Along with Cyberpunk, Elden ring has the biggest opening ever of a single player focused game on PC.

 

[Mr Hyde]

Spend your time playing the game instead OP.

 

[XJF]

Shiiiit, I think it's time to make a 4th character lol. Is Arcane needed as well as Dex for bleed?

I haven't upped Arcane at all and I started as this games version of Depraved. Bleed is the way!

 

[reksveks]

For once I'd like to hear data of sales outside the UK. It's always this region that's talked about.

Its the only place that really reports with reasonable number alongside JP, US (Monthly but no numbers), ES (weekly estimates but its very small)

 

[Bragr]

That's some huge claims , does the sense of exploration and discovery better then BOTW ? That's why i absolutely loved BOTW

Right now everyone is hyped as hell on the game and most of the takes are bad. It's hard to say that one is better than another when it comes to exploration. One thing Elden Ring does not have is relaxation, BOTW is tranquil at times, same with Skyrim. In BOTW sometimes you will climb a mountain, just to fly back down, or spend time in certain areas because it's nice and beautiful, there is nothing like that in Elden Ring.

 

[KingGhidorah]

I love this game so much that instead of playing it I am going to speculate using an arbitrary metric about how popular this game is so that I can know a few days before the official numbers are released.

Spend your time playing the game instead OP.

I am taking a break from getting beat up by

Spoiler

Tree Sentinel or Knight Cavalry

OK?

 

[drotahorror]

That castle has so many passages.

Spoiler: hidden castle area

There is even an underground area with a boss.

Yea that's what I was talking about along with the rest of the castle. I guess I missed a lot of stuff by going through the front gates when given an option.

 

[Bonfires Down]

I think that's roughly correct, though I imagine the Elden Ring audience is more hardcore, plays for longer and therefore produces a higher CCU per copy sold than would normally be expected.

Either way, I think 20+M lifetime is a lock.

 

[LENCH187]

So I took a break from exploring etc today and tried some invasions, not liking the way they are set up.. whenever you invade you are always gonna be at least 1v2 which is no fun,. I can kinda see what they are going for, but theres no point in doing it at the moment.

 

[JokerMM]

One thing i wish this game had is sheathing animation
Small detail but it would've added to the immersion

 

[Freeman76]

Roughly what % of the whole map is Limgrave? Ive been playing 20+ hours and still havent done everything in it lol

 

[G-Bus]

Isn’t that just opening your map, hovering over a site of grace (save/refill spot) and selecting X to teleport toward it?

Works fine for me.

In the beginning it says there are certain spots where you will not be able to teleport.

Seem to have got it figured out now.

 

[DeceptiveAlarm]

Anyone know a good ash of war for the claws? The only one I have atm is the stomp.

 

[KingGhidorah]

According to some report, PC number is already much higher than my estimation

Pledge Times

pledgetimes.com

 

[AJUMP23]

Is there a way to see summons signs without using the thing you craft? Or do I have to use one every time I die?



EDIT: I don't die very often though.....only like 10 times an hour.

 

[TheDarkPhantom]

I'm now 40h in, I've never played a game where my jaw drops roughly every 5 minutes. The whole time I'm playing I'm thinking "how the fuck will FROM ever top this‽", absolute masterpiece. As I guessed earlier in this thread, the map is absolutely massive, easily 100+ hour game. When I'm not playing it I'm thinking about it, Miyazaki's dark sorcery has invaded my mind, praise the Ring!

 

[AV]

It sold on par with Cyberpunk on PC so yes it does at least on PC. Along with Cyberpunk, Elden ring has the biggest opening ever of a single player focused game on PC.

On PC only, maybe. I don't see Elden Ring shifting 30 millions units total but I'd love to see it happen.

 

[ckaneo]

Isn't the UK one of the 5 biggest countries for gaming and the biggest or 2nd biggest in Europe? How is that irrelevant?

"It's irrelevant, but does help us look at trends" is the dumbest contradiction anyway.

Irrelevant as in in nolonger lets us accurately estimate the size of a release like it use to, but lets us see trends in next gen adoption and digital vs physical that the japanese market differs too greatly to take anything

 

[LENCH187]

I'm now 40h in, don't think I've ever played a game where my jaw drops roughly every 5 minutes. The whole time I'm playing I'm thinking "how the fuck will FROM ever top this‽", absolute masterpiece. As I guessed earlier in this thread, the map is absolutely massive, easily 100+ hour game. When I'm not playing it I'm thinking about it, Miyazaki's dark sorcery has invaded my mind, praise the Ring!

well the good thing for us, is that they have set the bar now.. cant give us less next time

 

[Abriael_GN]

No. And honestly, I don't understand why you care.

 

[kikkis]

So far in 25 hours only fun bosses have been Margit and Godrick, rest of them have had ton of frustrating elements. King of rancid bullshit has been Radahn.

 

[LENCH187]

One thing i wish this game had is sheathing animation
Small detail but it would've added to the immersion

the uchigatana has a sheathing animation tied to its special weapon arts move which is pretty cool

 

[KingGhidorah]

On PC only, maybe. I don't see Elden Ring shifting 30 millions units total but I'd love to see it happen.

But Souls games typically sell more on Playstation due to its original fanbase. The same way for Cyberpunk sell more on PC due to CDPR origin.

So if Elden Ring PC sales already on par to that of CP77, imagine when we include PC+console number

 

[SantaC]

Did anyone hug the lady in roundtable? She gives you a permanent 5% HP penalty unless you use her item.

 

[rofif]

I can’t duplicate moon queen remembrance. It doesn’t show up as a choice at the place to do it

 

[DeceptiveAlarm]

Did anyone hug the lady in roundtable? She gives you a permanent 5% HP penalty unless you use her item.

I did. Then I used the item. Is the penalty gone for good now? I didn't realize that happened. I just wanted a hug.

 

[SJRB]

One thing i wish this game had is sheathing animation
Small detail but it would've added to the immersion

Would love to be able to sheathe my weapon.

 

[Swift_Star]

What’s a good endurance cap for a str/fth build? Is 18 enough? For vig/str/fth/mind I’m planning to go 35/40/40/25

 

[WoodyStare]

Roughly what % of the whole map is Limgrave? Ive been playing 20+ hours and still havent done everything in it lol

 

[Maiden Voyage]

It's kinda hilarious to just Leeroy Jenkins on Torrent through some enemy-filled areas and pickup every item without taking a single hit.

I got an important quest item this way.

Is there a way to see summons signs without using the thing you craft? Or do I have to use one every time I die?



EDIT: I don't die very often though.....only like 10 times an hour.

Every time as far as I know. Crafting materials for it are super easy to find so I don’t mind.

 

[mansoor1980]

i really like the partisan spear move set , horizontal swipes as well as quick thrust attacks , i will upgrade this