The analysts also said at the start of the war it would be over in 3 days. According to some I just wasn't reading the right ones apparently. What's really bizarre to some is that I was forming my own opinion.
You specifically called it a pause "after a big advancement" implies it was intentional and not forced. What big advancement are you talking about? There hasn't been one since the start of the war. Since then it's been Ukraine continually pushing them back with Russia sustaining massive losses in forces and positions from their initial push.
They're looking to Iran for arms supplies and suing their own systems makers.
A pause in forward movement doesn't mean letting up on the enemy. Even if it was an intentional pause, there would be a need to keep artillery on Ukraine during the pause to keep them unbalanced. It's not a ceasefire.
They recently took Luhansk which is what I mean by big advancement.
They also took pauses for example after the Popasna breakthrough, but these were generally localised.
I'm not sure what you mean by intentional vs forced. It is intentional in the sense that they know they need to take a pause, and announced they would be taking one. It is also forced because the manpower issues are creating the need in the first place.
Yes they are going to need to keep artillery shelling (which they are) but it will be more limited compared to offensive pushes.
Furthermore, on Ukraine's side, an operational pause is a situation to take advantage of, which is part of the reason we see bigger pushes from Ukraine currently. Strike while your enemy is weak and all that.